As reported by Axios, President Joe Biden has opened ten
field offices in North Carolina, a crucial battleground state that could decide
the 2024 Presidential election. The Biden campaign has focused its efforts on
urban and suburban voters, believing that they represent a constituency that
could give the incumbent President the state and its 16 electoral votes. Biden
only lost North Carolina by 1.34% (or 74,483) votes, and it was the only state
that Donald Trump won while also failing to win over 50% of the vote. However,
the decision to focus solely on urban and suburban voters represents the
Democratic Party's continued neglect of rural communities and abandoning the
coalition that built the North Carolina Democratic Party in the post-Civil
Rights era.
The late 20th-century North Carolina Democratic Party
had deep roots in rural North Carolina, a time during which the Democrats led the way in
progressive reforms that allowed North Carolina to distinguish itself as the
most progressive Southern state.
Scotland County's Terry Sanford led North Carolina
through the Civil Rights Era and refused to join his fellow Southern governors
in trying to block racial progress. He raised education funding, championed the
creation of what would later become the North Carolina Community College
system, and endowed anti-poverty programs.
A decade later, Wilson County's Jim Hunt built upon
this progress by continuing to champion education and build programs that
promoted student success. Hunt narrowly lost his attempt to dethrone Jesse
Helms in the 1984 Senate race and returned to the governor's mansion in the
1990s to continue his work.
North Carolina Democrats also sent Sanford to the
United States Senate in the 80s, after his tenure as President of Duke
University concluded. Sanford lost re-election in 1992, but Moore County's John
Edwards filled his seat six years later.
The consistent theme of the North Carolina Democrats in
the latter half of the 20th century was the championing of policies that
benefited working-class North Carolinians, which included increases to
education funding, infrastructure funding for rural corners of the state, and
the continuation of racial progress. Were they perfect? Of course not. But
rural voters knew they could trust the Democratic Party to have their back.
Over the last decade, however, Democrats have begun to
lose their rural strongholds in North Carolina and seem to be putting little
effort into getting them back.
My first direct exposure to politics in 2008 came as a
volunteer at then-Senator Barack Obama's campaign office in Lumberton, North
Carolina. At the time, my native Robeson County, North Carolina, was staunchly
blue. In fact, Richard Nixon in 1972 was the only Republican to ever win
there (at least since the end of Reconstruction). In the 2008 Democratic primary, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton both
had field offices in the county. Obama even carried it by almost 17.5% in 2012.
In the 2010s, however, Robeson County politics took a hard turn to the right.
We elected Republicans to the county commission and state legislature for the
first time since Reconstruction. Donald Trump won the county in 2016 and 2020. This shift also
happened on the state level, Pat McCrory and Dan Forest won Robeson County
during their gubernatorial runs.
In 2020, Trump added to his support in Robeson County, likely buoyed by his decision to visit Lumberton in the waning days of the campaign. In fact, Trump gained more support in Robeson County, both in terms of percentage and raw numbers, than he did anywhere else in the state.
Robeson is not an outlier in rural North Carolina. Six
rural counties flipped to Trump in 2016 and remained in his column in 2020:
Robeson, Bladen, Richmond, Gates, Granville, and Martin. The loss of Robeson,
Bladen, and Richmond represents the loss of perhaps the poorest region of North
Carolina. Along with Scotland County, which flipped to Trump in 2020, these
counties represent a contiguous strip close to the South Carolina border in the
eastern half of the state. All are persistent poverty counties, meaning they've
had high poverty rates for at least three decades. These are the people to whom
we should be listening.
North Carolina's urban and suburban areas are rapidly
growing, so from a mathematical perspective, it seems logical to focus on them.
However, President Biden's campaign must not leave rural North Carolinians
behind. Rural North Carolina has many long-time activists, who helped power the
Democratic coalition in the state for decades. As anyone who grew up in North
Carolina in the latter half of the 20th century should know, many of our most progressive
leaders came from the state's rural corners. The effectiveness of these
activists is enhanced when they have institutional support. If you actually want to enact policies that better the lives of the most impoverished, you must create the infrastructure necessary for them to offer their input.
It also makes mathematical sense to have a presence in rural communities. In 2008, Barack Obama won North Carolina by just 14,177 votes, and Joe Biden won Georgia in 2020 by just 11,779.
There are reasons to be optimistic. The 2023 election of Person County's Anderson Clayton represents the infusion of rural ideas to the state party's leadership. Soon after her election, she pledged to remedy the problem that saw Democrats leave 44 state legislative seats uncontested. We'll see how that manifests into campaign strategy for the upcoming election cycle.
We cannot afford to let the Republican Party have a monopoly on communities like where I grew up.
1 comment:
Here's an interesting story about the investments the GOP is making in rural places in the South:
https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1120096299
There has been other coverage of the GOP going into Lumbee territory in North Carolina, the point being that the GOP is actively courting rural voters of color.
Also,you'll find lots of coverage on the blog here about Anderson Breeze Clayton and her efforts to draw attention to rural North Carolina.
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